Key Points To Watch Out For: At the Expense of Tariffs The US dollar recovered last week, confirming that the recent decline, triggered by speculation that Trump might adopt a more flexible stance on tariffs, was merely a corrective phase. Tariffs remained the main driver, and last Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision added further fuel to […]
Outlook for Week of January 27 – 31
Key Points to Watch Out For: Fed Expected to Pause Rate Cuts as Trump’s Second Presidency Begins The Federal Reserve will take the spotlight this week, as it convenes for its first monetary policy meeting of the year. While the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Canada are expected to continue easing, the […]
Outlook for the Week of January 20–24
Key Points To Watch Out For: This week promises significant market developments, starting with Donald Trump’s inauguration on Monday, January 20, and culminating in the Bank of Japan’s interest rate decision on Friday. Additional key events include inflation data releases from Canada and New Zealand, PMI updates from the Eurozone and UK, and the highly […]
Outlook for the Week of January 13 – 17
Key Points to Watch Out For: U.S. CPI Likely to Stay Elevated The Federal Reserve made limited headway in curbing inflation throughout 2024, with most indicators ending the year slightly below their starting points. Policymakers aimed for a 2.0% inflation target but faced persistent price increases hovering around 3.0%. November’s CPI data showed encouraging signs […]
Outlook for the Week of January 06 – 10
Key Points to Watch Out For: Will U.S. Data Provide More Momentum for the Dollar? The U.S. dollar started the year with a slight pullback, but it quickly resumed its dominant uptrend. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance—lowering its 2025 rate cut forecasts to only two quarter-point reductions—has widened yield differentials between the U.S. and other […]
Outlook for the Week of December 23 – 27
Key Points to Watch Out For: Inflation Appears to Be Dollar-Friendly The U.S. dollar has emerged as a dominant force in 2024, a sharp reversal from the dynamics of 2023 when Europe and other global markets struggled with persistent inflation. The Federal Reserve’s efforts to combat inflation have yielded significant progress, setting it apart from […]
Outlook for the Week of December 09 – 13
Key Points to Watch Out For: Fed to Pause in January Following last week’s data, which showed U.S. inflation slightly higher than in October, market participants are nearly unanimous in expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week. However, the likelihood of a pause in January has climbed to […]
Outlook for the Week of December 09 – 13
Key Points to Watch Out For: Reserve Bank of Australia to Hold Rates, but Will It Be Less Restrictive? The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is set to announce its decision on Tuesday, December 10. Unlike its major counterparts, the RBA has not yet initiated a rate-cutting cycle, as policymakers remain cautious about inflation despite […]
Outlook for the Week of December 2 – 6
Key Points to Watch Out For: NFP and ISM PMIs to Influence Fed Projections The U.S. dollar softened last week, retreating slightly after being temporarily boosted by President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff threats against China, Canada, and Mexico. Traders appeared to unwind Trump-related long positions ahead of Thanksgiving and in anticipation of this week’s major data […]
Outlook for the Week of November 25 – 29
Key Points to Watch Out For: RBNZ Readies for Its Third Rate Cut The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will kick off the year-end monetary policy meetings of major central banks with its decision on Wednesday, November 27. Having shifted policy significantly earlier this year, even before the Federal Reserve began easing, the RBNZ […]