The EUR/USD pair resumed its downward trajectory on Tuesday, shedding another third of a percentage point. It briefly tested levels slightly below 1.0600 during the day, signaling persistent bearish sentiment. This marks an ongoing seven-week decline from its multi-month peak just above 1.1200 in September. Market Dynamics The absence of significant economic data from the […]
Daily Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Stays Tepid Near 1.0700 Amid Rising Dollar and Political Uncertainty
The EUR/USD pair remains under significant pressure, primarily driven by the strengthening U.S. dollar and escalating political uncertainty in Germany. The prospect of Donald Trump’s return to the White House has raised expectations of higher U.S. tariffs and lower corporate taxes, policies that could elevate inflation risks and push the Federal Reserve toward a more […]
Daily Technical Analysis EUR/USD: Rallies on Greenback Weakness on U.S. Election Day
The EUR/USD pair capitalized on a broad-based decline in the U.S. dollar as markets prepared for the initial results of the U.S. presidential election that began on Tuesday. The euro gained two-thirds of a percentage point, breaking above the 1.0900 level as investors anticipated favorable market conditions during the election cycle that will determine the […]
Daily Technical Analysis EUR/USD: The Pair Rises Ahead of U.S. Elections
The EUR/USD recovered some losses from the previous session, trading near 1.0880 in early Asian trading on Monday. This rise may be due to a softer U.S. dollar following weaker-than-expected October Non-Farm Payrolls data. However, uncertainty surrounding the U.S. presidential election could drive safe-haven demand, limiting the pair’s upside potential. On Friday, U.S. Bureau of […]
Daily technical analysis EUR/USD: Slight Rise Above 1.0800 Ahead of U.S. & Eurozone GDP, German Inflation Data
The EUR/USD pair’s gains remain limited, with uncertainty prevailing ahead of the U.S. presidential election and critical economic data from the U.S. A potential Trump victory is seen as a possible dollar-strengthening factor, with the market currently pricing in a 60% probability for a Republican win, which could ease downward pressure on the EUR/USD in […]
Daily Technical Analysis EUR/USD: Below 1.0800 as Fed Tightening Looms
The EUR/USD remains steady at 1.0790 after posting losses in the previous session. However, the pair could be impacted by a stronger dollar, as recent positive U.S. economic data has bolstered expectations for a less dovish Fed approach in November. On Friday, the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 70.5 in October, up from 68.9 […]
Daily Technical Analysis EUR/USD: Pair Nears 16-Week Low, Stays Negative
EUR/USD extended its downward movement on Tuesday, retreating about 0.16% and testing a key technical barrier that could lead to fresh 16-week lows if the price breaks below this support level. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde made several appearances on Tuesday, but her remarks, which were fairly generic, did little to support the euro. […]
Daily Technical Analysis EUR/USD: Approaching 1.0850, Potential Drop Amid Shifting Political Forecasts
The EUR/USD may face challenges due to shifts in market estimates regarding monetary policy and interest rate outlooks. Currently, the U.S. dollar has gained ground as the likelihood of a rate cut by the hawkish Federal Reserve in November diminishes. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank is expected to intensify its monetary policy easing to boost […]
Daily Technical Analysis EUR/USD: The Pair Extends Decline Ahead of ECB Rate Decision
The EUR/USD pair continued its bearish trend on Tuesday, dropping about one-fifth of a percent and sliding below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The price closed below the 1.0900 level for the first time since early August. The pair is now down nearly 3% from its late September highs, which were just above the […]
Outlook for the Week of October 14-18
Key points to watch out for: Is the ECB Rate Cut a Reality? After the RBNZ cut interest rates by 50 basis points last Wednesday, attention shifted to the ECB. Although Chair Lagarde and her colleagues initially did not support a rate cut for October, their stance began to shift following disappointing PMI data and […]