{"id":34295,"date":"2025-06-18T12:19:23","date_gmt":"2025-06-18T12:19:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/dollar-falls-on-fed-decisions-uk-inflation-moderates\/"},"modified":"2025-08-22T11:30:21","modified_gmt":"2025-08-22T11:30:21","slug":"dollar-falls-on-fed-decisions-uk-inflation-moderates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/pt\/dollar-falls-on-fed-decisions-uk-inflation-moderates\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Falls on Fed Decision, UK Inflation Moderates"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The U.S. dollar retreated on Wednesday as markets reacted to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, signs of a slowing U.S. economy, and the conclusion of the Federal Reserve\u2019s policy meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By 04:35 ET (08:35 GMT), the <a href=\"https:\/\/hub.onequity.com\/education\/19\/12\/2024\/understanding-the-dxy-index-a-key-to-forex-and-global-market-insights\/\">U.S. Dollar Index<\/a> \u2014 which measures the greenback against a basket of six major <a href=\"https:\/\/hub.onequity.com\/education\/14\/06\/2024\/unlocking-the-global-currency-market-a-beginners-guide-to-forex\/\">currencies<\/a> \u2014 was down <strong>0.2% at 98.240<\/strong>, giving back part of Tuesday\u2019s 0.6% gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Dollar Retreats Ahead of Fed Outcome<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The greenback had seen safe-haven demand a day earlier as the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran spooked markets. U.S. President Donald Trump\u2019s aggressive rhetoric \u2014 including demands for Iran\u2019s \u201cunconditional surrender\u201d and claims that Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei was an \u201ceasy target\u201d \u2014 added fuel to the risk-off mood. Trump also suggested U.S. support in helping Israel achieve \u201ccomplete and total\u201d air superiority over Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to analysts at ING, Tuesday\u2019s surge in the dollar was likely driven by a short squeeze and rising oil prices following intensified Israeli strikes on Tehran. They warned that if speculation about U.S. military involvement proves accurate, it could drive oil even higher \u2014 potentially strengthening the dollar further.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, traders pulled back on Wednesday ahead of the Fed\u2019s widely anticipated decision. No rate change is expected, but investors will closely scrutinize Fed Chair <strong>Jerome Powell\u2019s<\/strong> remarks and the updated <strong>\u201cdot plot,\u201d<\/strong> which outlines policymakers\u2019 rate forecasts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Market expectations currently price in slightly over a <strong>50% chance<\/strong> of the next rate cut occurring in September. However, recent U.S. data \u2014 including a surprise economic contraction and weaker-than-expected May retail sales \u2014 have cast doubt on the strength of the recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Euro and Pound Rebound<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In Europe, the <strong>euro<\/strong> bounced back, with <strong>EUR\/USD rising 0.3% to 1.1515<\/strong>, recovering from a 1% drop the previous day. Investors await the final reading of May\u2019s eurozone inflation, though little change is expected from the earlier 1.9% annual increase.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite overbought technical conditions, ING noted that bearish structural sentiment toward the dollar could keep dip-buying in EUR\/USD intact, at least until markets fully absorb the geopolitical impact on oil prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>British pound<\/strong> also gained, with <strong>GBP\/USD up 0.2% at 1.3463<\/strong>, even as U.K. inflation data softened. Headline inflation slowed to <strong>3.4% in May<\/strong>, down from <strong>3.5% in April<\/strong>, while services inflation \u2014 key for the Bank of England \u2014 fell to <strong>4.7% from 5.4%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>BoE<\/strong> is expected to hold rates steady on Thursday, following a 25bps cut earlier in May. ING pointed out that despite the BoE\u2019s hawkish messaging, recent data on jobs, growth, and inflation have all been weaker \u2014 increasing the risk of a more cautious tone, though another rate cut remains unlikely at this stage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Swedish Krona Weakens on Riksbank Cut<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>USD\/SEK<\/strong> rose <strong>0.2% to 9.5677<\/strong> after Sweden\u2019s <strong>Riksbank<\/strong> cut its benchmark interest rate by 25bps to <strong>2.0%<\/strong> \u2014 its lowest level in over two years \u2014 in response to slowing inflation and growth concerns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Muted Trade News in Asia<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In Asia, <strong>USD\/JPY<\/strong> edged down <strong>0.1% to 144.58<\/strong> after Japanese Prime Minister <strong>Shigeru Ishiba<\/strong> said no trade deal had been reached with the U.S. during the <strong>G7 summit<\/strong>. Ishiba cited ongoing disputes and noted that U.S. tariffs continued to hurt Japan\u2019s auto sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trade data showed Japan ran a smaller-than-expected deficit in May, with exports falling for the first time in eight months \u2014 though the drop was milder than forecast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>USD\/CNY<\/strong> was little changed at <strong>7.1852<\/strong> as markets awaited a decision from the <strong>People\u2019s Bank of China<\/strong> later in the week. The central bank is expected to hold its loan prime rate steady after a previous cut earlier this year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. dollar retreated on Wednesday as markets reacted to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, signs of a slowing U.S. economy, and the conclusion of the Federal Reserve\u2019s policy meeting. By 04:35 ET (08:35 GMT), the U.S. Dollar Index \u2014 which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies \u2014 was [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":38151,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[205,210],"tags":[220,221,222,223,229],"class_list":["post-34295","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets-pt","category-currencies-pt","tag-currencies-pt","tag-dollar-pt","tag-euro-pt","tag-yen-pt","tag-yuan-pt"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Dollar Falls on Fed Decision, UK Inflation Moderates - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The U.S. dollar slips as markets digest Fed signals, geopolitical risks, and slowing U.S. and U.K. economic indicators\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/onequity.com\/pt\/dollar-falls-on-fed-decisions-uk-inflation-moderates\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dollar Falls on Fed Decision, UK Inflation Moderates - 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