{"id":34310,"date":"2025-06-16T11:03:50","date_gmt":"2025-06-16T11:03:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/dollar-falls-before-the-fed-meeting-the-euro-gains-momentum\/"},"modified":"2025-08-22T11:31:35","modified_gmt":"2025-08-22T11:31:35","slug":"dollar-falls-before-the-fed-meeting-the-euro-gains-momentum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/pt\/dollar-falls-before-the-fed-meeting-the-euro-gains-momentum\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Falls Before the Fed Meeting; the Euro Gains Momentum"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The U.S. dollar edged lower on Monday as investors monitored developments in the Israel-Iran conflict and looked ahead to a packed week of central bank meetings, including the Federal Reserve\u2019s highly anticipated decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As of 04:15 ET (08:15 GMT), the U.S. Dollar Index<\/a>\u2014measuring the greenback against a basket of six major currencies<\/a>\u2014was down 0.2% at 97.540, paring gains made late last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dollar Retreats After Safe-Haven Spike<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The dollar had strengthened at the end of last week as heightened geopolitical risks drove safe-haven demand, especially following Israel\u2019s strike on Iranian targets. Oil prices surged in tandem. However, tensions appear to have stabilized somewhat, with Iran keeping the Strait of Hormuz open and fears of broader regional escalation receding. This has led to a gradual unwinding of the dollar\u2019s earlier gains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThis is another sign of the market\u2019s ongoing distrust in the dollar,\u201d analysts at ING noted. \u201cEven typically dollar-positive events\u2014like an oil price shock paired with geopolitical stress\u2014have failed to reverse the sustained USD-short positioning we\u2019ve observed in recent months.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fed Expected to Hold Steady<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Federal Reserve concludes its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday and is widely expected to keep rates unchanged at 4.25%\u20134.50%. The recent uptick in oil prices gives the Fed additional cover to resist pressure\u2014particularly from the White House\u2014for immediate rate cuts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cVolatility in energy markets could allow the Fed to push back against President Trump\u2019s calls for cuts, while it assesses the broader inflation impact from tariffs,\u201d ING added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets will also be watching for any signs of progress on trade negotiations during the upcoming G7 summit in Canada. Ongoing uncertainty around global trade has weighed heavily on the dollar, which is down more than 9% year-to-date.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Euro Gains Ground<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The euro continued to attract demand, with EUR\/USD rising 0.2% to 1.1578. The single currency has gained over 11% this year amid growing investor interest, sparking debate about its potential to challenge the dollar\u2019s dominance. However, ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos downplayed that notion, stating that any such shift is unlikely in the near term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pound Edges Higher Ahead of BoE Decision<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

GBP\/USD inched up 0.1% to 1.3585 as traders await the Bank of England\u2019s policy decision on Thursday. The BoE is expected to hold rates steady after a 25 basis point cut in May, as it contends with a weak growth outlook, rising jobless claims, and still-elevated inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mixed Central Bank Outlooks in Europe<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Norges Bank is also expected to keep rates unchanged this week, while Sweden\u2019s Riksbank is seen leaning toward a rate cut. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank could potentially reintroduce negative interest rates in response to a strong franc and recent deflationary data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yen Stable Ahead of BoJ, China Data Mixed<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, USD\/JPY ticked up 0.1% to 144.26, with the yen losing ground after recent safe-haven inflows. The Bank of Japan meets Tuesday and is expected to hold rates steady, though markets are closely watching for any signals regarding the future of its bond-purchase tapering plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In China, USD\/CNY dipped slightly to 7.1797 after mixed economic data. Industrial output for May came in below expectations, as export demand remains pressured by elevated U.S. tariffs. However, retail sales surprised to the upside, buoyed by public holidays and strong online shopping activity\u2014offering a rare bright spot for China\u2019s consumer sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The People\u2019s Bank of China is expected to leave its loan prime rate unchanged later this week, following a cut earlier this year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The U.S. dollar edged lower on Monday as investors monitored developments in the Israel-Iran conflict and looked ahead to a packed week of central bank meetings, including the Federal Reserve\u2019s highly anticipated decision. As of 04:15 ET (08:15 GMT), the U.S. Dollar Index\u2014measuring the greenback against a basket of six major currencies\u2014was down 0.2% at […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":38325,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[205,210],"tags":[220,221,222,231,223],"class_list":["post-34310","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets-pt","category-currencies-pt","tag-currencies-pt","tag-dollar-pt","tag-euro-pt","tag-fed-pt","tag-yen-pt"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDollar Falls Before the Fed Meeting; the Euro Gains Momentum - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The U.S. dollar slips ahead of the Fed meeting, while the euro strengthens amid easing geopolitical tensions and rate outlooks.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/onequity.com\/pt\/dollar-falls-before-the-fed-meeting-the-euro-gains-momentum\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dollar Falls Before the Fed Meeting; 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