{"id":34369,"date":"2025-05-28T11:54:19","date_gmt":"2025-05-28T11:54:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/dollar-rises-slightly-but-gains-still-uncertain\/"},"modified":"2025-05-28T11:54:19","modified_gmt":"2025-05-28T11:54:19","slug":"dollar-rises-slightly-but-gains-still-uncertain","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/pt\/dollar-rises-slightly-but-gains-still-uncertain\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Rises Slightly, but Gains Still Uncertain"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The U.S. dollar inched slightly higher on Wednesday, buoyed by stronger-than-expected economic data, though lingering uncertainty around trade policies and the growing federal deficit limited further upside.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As of 06:45 ET (10:45 GMT), the <a href=\"https:\/\/hub.onequity.com\/education\/19\/12\/2024\/understanding-the-dxy-index-a-key-to-forex-and-global-market-insights\/\">U.S. Dollar Index<\/a>\u2014which measures the greenback against six major <a href=\"https:\/\/hub.onequity.com\/education\/14\/06\/2024\/unlocking-the-global-currency-market-a-beginners-guide-to-forex\/\">currencies<\/a>\u2014rose 0.1% to 99.500. However, it remains down 8% year-to-date as investors seek alternatives to U.S. assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Consumer Confidence Lifts Dollar, But Headwinds Remain<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The dollar was supported on Tuesday by robust <strong>U.S. consumer confidence<\/strong> data for May. However, a sharp drop in <strong>April durable goods orders<\/strong>\u2014the steepest decline in six months\u2014highlighted the economic strain from ongoing tariff volatility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Concerns over the U.S. fiscal outlook also continue to weigh on sentiment, especially after <strong>Moody\u2019s<\/strong> downgraded the <strong>U.S. sovereign credit rating<\/strong> on <strong>May 16<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cA more conciliatory tone from President Trump towards the EU, along with reports of internal EU pressure for a quick trade deal, helped fuel a short squeeze in the dollar,\u201d analysts at ING noted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Markets are now awaiting the minutes from the Federal Reserve\u2019s May meeting, due later Wednesday, for insights into the central bank\u2019s policy direction amid economic uncertainty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari on Tuesday advocated for holding rates steady until the inflationary effects of tariffs become clearer, cautioning against dismissing these supply-side shocks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cMarkets will be watching for any clues on the Fed\u2019s view regarding the transitory nature of tariff-induced inflation,\u201d ING added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Euro Gains as Markets Eye ECB<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The euro edged up, with EUR\/USD rising 0.1% to 1.1334, rebounding slightly after a 0.5% decline on Tuesday. French GDP grew by 0.1% in Q1, confirming preliminary estimates, while German unemployment rose more than expected in May, nearing 3 million for the first time in a decade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Attention is turning to the European Central Bank meeting on June 5, with expectations of another rate cut\u2014likely trimming the deposit rate from 2.25% to 2.00%, marking the ECB\u2019s eighth consecutive cut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cEUR\/USD has repeatedly found support around 1.130 over the past six weeks,\u201d ING noted. \u201cIf U.S. data and Trump continue to deliver surprises, a break below is possible\u2014but we doubt markets are ready to dismiss the USD risk premium, particularly with deficit concerns resurfacing.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Sterling, Yen, and Others Move Modestly<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>British pound<\/strong> rose <strong>0.1%<\/strong> to <strong>1.3516<\/strong> after data showed <strong>U.K. grocery price inflation<\/strong> surged to <strong>4.1%<\/strong> in the four weeks to <strong>May 18<\/strong>\u2014the highest rate since <strong>February 2023<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In Asia, <strong>USD\/JPY<\/strong> slipped <strong>0.1%<\/strong> to <strong>144.15<\/strong>. The yen remained steady after a sharp <strong>1%<\/strong> drop on Tuesday, following reports that <strong>Japan<\/strong> may scale back issuance of ultra-long-term bonds amid surging yields.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>USD\/CNY<\/strong> also dipped <strong>0.1%<\/strong> to <strong>7.1912<\/strong>, with muted movement as uncertainty over Trump\u2019s trade stance kept investors cautious.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Elsewhere, <strong>NZD\/USD<\/strong> rose <strong>0.3%<\/strong> to <strong>0.5972<\/strong> after the <strong>Reserve Bank of New Zealand<\/strong> cut interest rates by <strong>25 basis points<\/strong> as expected but hinted that the easing cycle may be nearing its end.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. dollar inched slightly higher on Wednesday, buoyed by stronger-than-expected economic data, though lingering uncertainty around trade policies and the growing federal deficit limited further upside. As of 06:45 ET (10:45 GMT), the U.S. Dollar Index\u2014which measures the greenback against six major currencies\u2014rose 0.1% to 99.500. However, it remains down 8% year-to-date as investors [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[205,210],"tags":[220,221,222,223],"class_list":["post-34369","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-markets-pt","category-currencies-pt","tag-currencies-pt","tag-dollar-pt","tag-euro-pt","tag-yen-pt"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Dollar Rises Slightly, but Gains Still Uncertain - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"U.S. dollar inches up on strong data but faces headwinds from trade, deficit concerns, and cautious Fed outlook on rates.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/onequity.com\/pt\/dollar-rises-slightly-but-gains-still-uncertain\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dollar Rises Slightly, but Gains Still Uncertain - 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