{"id":34447,"date":"2024-12-23T06:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-12-23T06:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/daily-technical-analysis-eur-usd-rises-to-near-1-0450-on-increased-prospects-that-the-fed-will-leave-rates-steady-in-january\/"},"modified":"2026-02-13T14:14:09","modified_gmt":"2026-02-13T14:14:09","slug":"daily-technical-analysis-eur-usd-rises-to-near-1-0450-on-increased-prospects-that-the-fed-will-leave-rates-steady-in-january","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/pt\/daily-technical-analysis-eur-usd-rises-to-near-1-0450-on-increased-prospects-that-the-fed-will-leave-rates-steady-in-january\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD Rises to Near 1.0450 on Increased Prospects"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The EUR\/USD pair is trading near 1.0430 on Monday, holding flat after Friday&#8217;s gains. The pair&#8217;s rise is attributed to a weakening U.S. dollar following the release of the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The November inflation report revealed that year-on-year core PCE inflation, the Federal Reserve&#8217;s preferred measure of inflation, rose by 2.8%, slightly below expectations of 2.9%. Monthly core inflation rose by 0.1%, compared to estimates of 0.2% and the previous year&#8217;s reading of 0.3%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data has reinforced market sentiment that the Federal Reserve will slow the pace of further rate cuts in the coming year. According to CME&#8217;s FedWatch tool, markets now see a more than 90% probability that the Fed will leave interest rates unchanged in January, maintaining the current range of 4.25%-4.50%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>U.S. Political Developments<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On Sunday, President-elect Donald Trump announced key appointments to his administration, as reported by <em>Business Insider<\/em>. Notable appointments include <strong>Jacob Helberg<\/strong>, a senior advisor to Palantir CEO Alex Karp, as Secretary of State for Economic Growth, Energy, and the Environment, <strong>Scott Bessent<\/strong> as Secretary of the Treasury, <strong>Howard Lutnick<\/strong> as Secretary of Commerce, <strong>Kevin Hassett<\/strong> as Chairman of the National Economic Council. <strong>Andrew Ferguson<\/strong> as Chairman of the Federal Trade Commission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>European Economic Developments<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In the eurozone, Boris Vuj\u010di\u0107, a member of the European Central Bank&#8217;s Governing Council, stated over the weekend that the ECB plans to continue reducing borrowing costs through 2025, according to <em>Bloomberg<\/em>. &#8220;The direction is clear: it is a continuation of the 2024 path, with further interest rate cuts,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Germany&#8217;s approval of fiscal reforms also provided a boost to the euro. These reforms aim to increase household disposable income, thereby stimulating consumer demand and driving economic growth. As the largest economy in the eurozone, Germany&#8217;s fiscal actions have significant implications for the region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>EUR\/USD Daily Technical Analysis for December 23rd<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite modest improvements, the pair remains below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which continues to act as a barrier to upside momentum and warrants caution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Key Technical Indicators<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Relative Strength Index (RSI):<\/strong> The RSI has risen to 37, still in the bearish zone but signaling a gradual reduction in selling pressure.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):<\/strong> The MACD histogram displays flat red bars, indicating persistent weakness, though there are tentative signs of stabilization.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>While selling pressures are easing, the overall bias for EUR\/USD remains bearish. A sustained move above the 20-day SMA is required to confirm a reversal in sentiment and open the door for further gains. On the downside, a failure to hold above the 1.0400 level could invite renewed selling pressure, potentially exposing the pair to yearly lows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69e3d6d84f08e&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69e3d6d84f08e\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large technical-chart wp-lightbox-container\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/onequity.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/23-12-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5332\"\/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Enlarge\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">EUR\/USD chart<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The EUR\/USD pair is trading near 1.0430 on Monday, holding flat after Friday&#8217;s gains. The pair&#8217;s rise is attributed to a weakening U.S. dollar following the release of the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index data. The November inflation report revealed that year-on-year core PCE inflation, the Federal Reserve&#8217;s preferred measure of inflation, rose [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[209],"tags":[252,221,222,254],"class_list":["post-34447","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-technical","tag-analysis-pt","tag-dollar-pt","tag-euro-pt","tag-technical-pt"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>EUR\/USD Rises to Near 1.0450 on Increased Prospects - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"EUR\/USD analysis: Pair rises to 1.0430 as Fed signals steady rates. 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