{"id":34450,"date":"2024-12-16T06:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-12-16T06:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/daily-technical-analysis-eur-usd-the-pair-holds-at-1-0500-level-ahead-of-fed-decision\/"},"modified":"2026-02-13T14:13:39","modified_gmt":"2026-02-13T14:13:39","slug":"daily-technical-analysis-eur-usd-the-pair-holds-at-1-0500-level-ahead-of-fed-decision","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/pt\/daily-technical-analysis-eur-usd-the-pair-holds-at-1-0500-level-ahead-of-fed-decision\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD The Pair Holds at 1.0500 Level Ahead of Fed Decision"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The EUR\/USD started the week with further gains, trading near 1.0520. This rise could suggest a weakening U.S. dollar, driven by soft U.S. Treasury yields ahead of the Federal Reserve&#8217;s interest rate decision scheduled for Wednesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Fed is widely expected to announce a 25 basis point rate cut at its final monetary policy meeting of the year. Market analysts predict this move will be paired with a signal that the central bank is preparing for a pause, reflecting the economic strength in the U.S. and inflation that remains above the 2% target. According to CME\u2019s FedWatch tool, market participants have nearly fully priced in the likelihood of a quarter-point cut at this week&#8217;s meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell&#8217;s press conference and the updated Dot Plot projections will be closely scrutinized. Earlier this month, Powell struck a cautious tone, stating, \u201cWe can afford to be a little more cautious as we try to find a neutral point,\u201d signaling no urgency to aggressively lower rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The euro found support after French President Emmanuel Macron named centrist ally Fran\u00e7ois Bayrou as France&#8217;s new Prime Minister. This appointment raises hopes for political stability after the resignation of Michel Barnier following a no-confidence motion in parliament. Macron had vowed to swiftly nominate a successor to ensure stability in the government.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Friday, Robert Holzmann, a member of the European Central Bank&#8217;s (ECB) Governing Council, remarked that lowering interest rates solely to stimulate the economy would be counterproductive. Holzmann emphasized that the ECB&#8217;s main mandate is price stability, not economic stimulation. \u201cLowering rates now to boost the economy would be contradictory to our current stance,\u201d he stated, according to Bloomberg.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>EUR\/USD Daily Technical Analysis for December 16th<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The daily chart of the EUR\/USD shows that the slightly bearish 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is providing dynamic resistance near 1.0525, as of the previous Wednesday. Meanwhile, the 100-day and 200-day SMAs, located more than 300 pips above the current level, suggest bearish control in the longer-term technical outlook, even if their immediate influence is less pronounced.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>Momentum Indicator<\/strong> is directionless around the 100 level, offering no strong signals for movement, while the <strong>Relative Strength Index (RSI)<\/strong> remains near 41, also lacking clear directional strength.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The technical picture indicates that bears are still in control, with the euro attempting to sustain its footing around the key 1.0500 level. Further gains would require a breakout above 1.0525, while a drop below this psychological level could reignite selling pressure toward recent lows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69e1110e2607c&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69e1110e2607c\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large technical-chart wp-lightbox-container\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/onequity.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/eurusd-15-12-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5199\"\/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Enlarge\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">EUR\/USD chart<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The EUR\/USD started the week with further gains, trading near 1.0520. This rise could suggest a weakening U.S. dollar, driven by soft U.S. Treasury yields ahead of the Federal Reserve&#8217;s interest rate decision scheduled for Wednesday. The Fed is widely expected to announce a 25 basis point rate cut at its final monetary policy meeting [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[209],"tags":[252,221,222,254],"class_list":["post-34450","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-technical","tag-analysis-pt","tag-dollar-pt","tag-euro-pt","tag-technical-pt"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>EUR\/USD The Pair Holds at 1.0500 Level Ahead of Fed Decision - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"EUR\/USD holds at 1.0500 before Fed rate cut decision. 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