{"id":34498,"date":"2025-06-04T06:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-04T06:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/daily-technical-analysis-eur-usd-falls-versus-the-dollar-it-appreciates-thanks-to-rising-data-and-commercial-fears-rock-the-markets\/"},"modified":"2026-02-12T12:13:28","modified_gmt":"2026-02-12T12:13:28","slug":"daily-technical-analysis-eur-usd-falls-versus-the-dollar-it-appreciates-thanks-to-rising-data-and-commercial-fears-rock-the-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/pt\/daily-technical-analysis-eur-usd-falls-versus-the-dollar-it-appreciates-thanks-to-rising-data-and-commercial-fears-rock-the-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"Daily Technical Analysis EUR\/USD: Pulls Back Amid Dollar Strength, Inflation Miss, and Trade Tensions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The <strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong> pair retreated on Tuesday after reaching a six-week high of 1.1454, pressured by renewed concerns over the U.S.\u2013China trade dispute and a strengthening U.S. dollar. The pair trades at <strong>1.1379<\/strong>, down <strong>0.52%<\/strong>, as the greenback regains ground.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Trade Tensions and Economic Data Support the Dollar<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>U.S. President Donald Trump is reportedly planning to speak with Chinese President Xi Jinping this week, according to <em>Reuters<\/em>, offering a potential path to de-escalate ongoing trade tensions. Meanwhile, Wall Street remains in positive territory on the back of these developments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data further boosted the dollar. April\u2019s <strong>Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS)<\/strong> climbed to <strong>7.39 million<\/strong>, beating forecasts of <strong>7.10 million<\/strong> and signaling continued labor market strength. However, <strong>factory orders<\/strong> dropped by <strong>3.7%<\/strong>, reflecting pressure on the manufacturing sector due to rising tariffs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trade uncertainty continues to weigh on sentiment. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed that President Trump will sign an executive order to <strong>double tariffs on steel and aluminum<\/strong>, effective Wednesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Euro Weighed Down by Soft Inflation Figures<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Across the Atlantic, <strong>Eurozone inflation data<\/strong> added to the euro\u2019s weakness. The <strong>Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP)<\/strong> for May fell to <strong>1.9%<\/strong>, slipping below the <strong>ECB&#8217;s 2% target<\/strong> for the first time in eight months. <strong>Core inflation<\/strong> also dropped to <strong>2.3%<\/strong> from <strong>2.7%<\/strong>, reinforcing expectations of a <strong>25-basis-point rate cut<\/strong> at the upcoming <strong>European Central Bank<\/strong> meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This week\u2019s Eurozone calendar includes the <strong>ECB\u2019s rate decision<\/strong> and a <strong>press conference by President Christine Lagarde<\/strong>, while the U.S. docket is packed with labor market data, including May\u2019s <strong>ADP Employment Report<\/strong>, <strong>Initial Jobless Claims<\/strong>, and the <strong>Nonfarm Payrolls<\/strong> release.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>EUR\/USD Market Drivers: Dollar Strength and ECB Expectations Shift Momentum<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>EUR\/USD retreats below 1.1400<\/strong>, as U.S. JOLTS job openings surprise to the upside, hitting <strong>7.39 million<\/strong> in April versus a revised <strong>7.20 million<\/strong> in March.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>U.S. Factory Orders<\/strong> declined <strong>3.7%<\/strong> in April after a <strong>4.3%<\/strong> rise in March, worse than the expected <strong>3.1%<\/strong> drop.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Federal Reserve commentary<\/strong> reflects caution. Governor <strong>Lisa Cook<\/strong> noted policy is well-positioned amid inflation risks from tariffs, while <strong>Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee<\/strong> highlighted the need to observe tariff impacts before acting.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Eurozone inflation<\/strong> undershoots the ECB\u2019s target. Headline <strong>HICP at 1.9%<\/strong> and <strong>core at 2.3%<\/strong> YoY increases the odds of a rate cut this week.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>EUR\/USD Daily Technical Analysis \u2013 June 4<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong> maintains a <strong>bullish bias<\/strong> despite the current pullback. The <strong>daily RSI<\/strong> remains in positive territory but is showing signs of exhaustion, suggesting the potential for a deeper correction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Support Levels to Watch:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>A break below the <strong>June 2 low at 1.1344<\/strong> could open the door to <strong>1.1300<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Further downside targets include the <strong>20-day SMA at 1.1278<\/strong> and the <strong>50-day SMA at 1.1218<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A sustained decline may reach <strong>1.1200<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Resistance Levels:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Above that, the next target is the <strong>YTD peak at 1.1573<\/strong>, last seen on April 21The EUR\/USD pair retreated on Tuesday after reaching a six-week high of 1.1454, pressured by renewed concerns over the U.S.-China trade dispute and a strengthening U.S. Dollar. The pair trades at 1.1379, down 0.52%, as the Greenback regains ground.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If EUR\/USD reclaims <strong>1.1400<\/strong>, bulls could aim for the recent high of <strong>1.1454<\/strong>. Above that, the next target is the <strong>YTD peak at 1.1573<\/strong>, last seen on April 21<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69dfbe3bd8b54&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69dfbe3bd8b54\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large technical-chart wp-lightbox-container\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/onequity.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/eurusd-04-06-25-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-7452\"\/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Enlarge\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">EUR\/USD chart<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"technical-chart\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The EUR\/USD pair retreated on Tuesday after reaching a six-week high of 1.1454, pressured by renewed concerns over the U.S.\u2013China trade dispute and a strengthening U.S. dollar. The pair trades at 1.1379, down 0.52%, as the greenback regains ground. Trade Tensions and Economic Data Support the Dollar U.S. President Donald Trump is reportedly planning to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":38762,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[209],"tags":[221,222,251],"class_list":["post-34498","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technical","tag-dollar-pt","tag-euro-pt","tag-technical-analysis-pt"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Daily Technical Analysis EUR\/USD: Pulls Back Amid Dollar Strength, Inflation Miss, and Trade Tensions - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"EUR\/USD slips below 1.1400 as U.S. data lifts the Dollar, while weak Eurozone inflation boosts ECB rate cut expectations.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/onequity.com\/pt\/daily-technical-analysis-eur-usd-falls-versus-the-dollar-it-appreciates-thanks-to-rising-data-and-commercial-fears-rock-the-markets\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Daily Technical Analysis EUR\/USD: Pulls Back Amid Dollar Strength, Inflation Miss, and Trade Tensions - 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