{"id":50019,"date":"2026-03-05T08:10:26","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T08:10:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/?p=50019"},"modified":"2026-03-05T10:40:21","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T10:40:21","slug":"eurusd-luta-para-sustentar-116","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/onequity.com\/pt\/eurusd-luta-para-sustentar-116\/","title":{"rendered":"EURUSD Luta para Sustentar 1,16"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Desde o in\u00edcio da semana, o d\u00f3lar vem se fortalecendo de forma significativa frente a praticamente todas as moedas, e a taxa de c\u00e2mbio com o euro n\u00e3o \u00e9 exce\u00e7\u00e3o. A busca por liquidez em USD \u2014 possivelmente para cumprir obriga\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras futuras e tamb\u00e9m como parte da demanda por ativos de ref\u00fagio \u2014 elevou o USDX em cerca de 1,35% at\u00e9 agora. Ontem houve um leve recuo de 0,28%, coincidindo com uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o das bolsas norte-americanas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O EURUSD seguiu trajet\u00f3ria semelhante. Ap\u00f3s romper o suporte em 1,1770 \u2014 formado no in\u00edcio de fevereiro e testado diversas vezes ao longo do m\u00eas \u2014 o par caiu rapidamente at\u00e9 a m\u00ednima de 1,1530 na ter\u00e7a-feira, antes de tentar estabilizar-se em torno de 1,16.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Como \u00e9 amplamente conhecido, o bloco europeu permanece fortemente dependente de importa\u00e7\u00f5es de energia. Aproximadamente 12% do petr\u00f3leo e 10% do g\u00e1s prov\u00eam de pa\u00edses do Golfo P\u00e9rsico, estando atualmente expostos a incertezas ou poss\u00edveis interrup\u00e7\u00f5es. Custos energ\u00e9ticos mais elevados tendem a deteriorar a balan\u00e7a comercial, o que \u00e9 negativo para o euro. Ao mesmo tempo, o risco de crescimento econ\u00f4mico mais lento \u2014 decorrente do aumento nos custos de produ\u00e7\u00e3o \u2014 tamb\u00e9m pode pressionar as perspectivas econ\u00f4micas do bloco.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Essa combina\u00e7\u00e3o de fatores pode eventualmente levar o BCE a abandonar sua atual postura de espera, embora ainda seja cedo para conclus\u00f5es definitivas. Esses fatores, por outro lado, s\u00e3o em grande parte irrelevantes para os Estados Unidos, que possuem independ\u00eancia energ\u00e9tica, o que ajuda a explicar a recente fraqueza do EURUSD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
EURUSD, Di\u00e1rio, Fev 2025 \u2013 Agora<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Perspectiva T\u00e9cnica do EURUSD<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embora 1,1770 tenha sido um suporte relevante formado em fevereiro, a regi\u00e3o de 1,16 \u00e9 ainda mais importante. Os pre\u00e7os permanecem acima desse n\u00edvel desde pelo menos junho do ano passado, e cada movimento de queda \u2014 como os observados no final de julho e em novembro \u2014 foi rapidamente rejeitado pelos compradores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Do ponto de vista t\u00e9cnico, 1,1530 representa o primeiro suporte relevante, seguido por 1,1470 e depois 1,14. Abaixo desse patamar existe uma zona mais ampla de acumula\u00e7\u00e3o correspondente \u00e0 faixa em que o par negociou na primavera passada, aproximadamente entre 1,14 e 1,1280.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Suportes adicionais aparecem em 1,1210 e 1,1135, embora atingir esses n\u00edveis implicaria uma queda pr\u00f3xima de 5% a partir dos pre\u00e7os atuais \u2014 um movimento significativo para um par cambial principal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por esse motivo, \u00e9 mais prov\u00e1vel que o movimento de queda encontre alguma estabiliza\u00e7\u00e3o antes de atingir esses n\u00edveis mais profundos. Ainda assim, a dire\u00e7\u00e3o de m\u00e9dio prazo pode continuar apontando para baixo, embora a disputa entre compradores e vendedores provavelmente permane\u00e7a concentrada na regi\u00e3o atual.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Os indicadores t\u00e9cnicos permanecem claramente negativos. O RSI est\u00e1 em 33,5 e continua em queda, o MACD virou para territ\u00f3rio negativo e o pre\u00e7o negocia bem abaixo das m\u00e9dias m\u00f3veis de 21 e 50 dias, que tamb\u00e9m se aproximam de um cruzamento de baixa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dito isso, o par pode registrar uma pausa tempor\u00e1ria nos n\u00edveis atuais. Nesse cen\u00e1rio, traders podem observar poss\u00edveis resist\u00eancias iniciais em 1,1630, seguidas por 1,1650 e posteriormente pela regi\u00e3o de 1,1685.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Desde o in\u00edcio da semana, o d\u00f3lar vem se fortalecendo de forma significativa frente a praticamente todas as moedas, e a taxa de c\u00e2mbio com o euro n\u00e3o \u00e9 exce\u00e7\u00e3o. A busca por liquidez em USD \u2014 possivelmente para cumprir obriga\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras futuras e tamb\u00e9m como parte da demanda por ativos de ref\u00fagio \u2014 elevou […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":43156,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[209],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50019","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technical"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nEURUSD Luta para Sustentar 1,16 - OnEquity<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/onequity.com\/eurusd-struggles-to-stabilize-at-1-16\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"EURUSD Luta para Sustentar 1,16 - OnEquity\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Desde o in\u00edcio da semana, o d\u00f3lar vem se fortalecendo de forma significativa frente a praticamente todas as moedas, e a taxa de c\u00e2mbio com o euro n\u00e3o \u00e9 exce\u00e7\u00e3o. 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