Global financial markets enter the first week of February with liquidity fully restored and investor focus shifting decisively toward macro confirmation. Following January’s positioning adjustments, markets are now increasingly driven by incoming economic data, central-bank guidance, and cross-asset repricing as participants assess whether early-2026 trends validate expectations for growth and monetary easing later in the […]
The S&P 500, Risk Markets, and Japan’s Little-Understood Influence
Yesterday we discussed the movements in the JPY, and as anticipated, today we will briefly cover their relevance for global risk markets and the global benchmark, the SP500 The Japanese banking and insurance sectors are among the largest and most important in the world. As of 2024, Japanese banks held approximately USD 17 trillion in […]
USD/JPY drops sharply on rate-check rumors
In recent years, it has happened on several occasions that Japanese monetary and government authorities (often in coordination with their counterparts) begin to express concern when USD/JPY moves above the 150 level and step into the FX market to stabilize the domestic currency as it approaches the 160 area. The first intervention took place in […]
GBP/USD: A Strong Pound and a Federal Reserve Under Pressure
Over the past several weeks, the USD had experienced a series of modest appreciation sessions, clearly visible against both the Euro and the Swiss Franc. This move unfolded within a persistently low-volatility environment, which has kept the USD Index trading broadly sideways throughout the entirety of H2 2025, following a pronounced depreciation in the first […]
How Far Can Silver Go?
Just over a month ago, we focused our attention on silver (here), highlighting its growth potential when it was still trading around $53. In particular, we emphasized the metal’s structural production deficit: for several years now, global demand has consistently exceeded actual supply. This naturally raises the question of what has driven such a sharp—and […]
Chevron: Best Positioned Player in the Venezuelan Energy Market
News of the capture of Nicolás Maduro, now former president of Venezuela, might lead some market participants to expect an immediate impact on energy markets. This assumption is understandable, given that the Caribbean nation sits atop the world’s largest proven oil reserves, estimated at 303 billion barrels—approximately 17% of global reserves—according to data from the […]
Disney 2025: Transitioning to Profitable Growth
When speaking of Christmas, it is difficult for many not to think of a company that has accompanied them—and continues to do so—with its cartoons during this period throughout the years. The Walt Disney Company (DIS) has faced some challenging years recently but throughout 2025 it has completed its strategic pivot from aggressive subscriber acquisition […]
Weekly Market Outlook | 22 – 26 Dec 2025
The week of December 22–26 marks a transitional period for global financial markets as investors move into the final stretch of the year. With Christmas holidays across major economies, liquidity conditions are expected to thin significantly, amplifying the impact of positioning flows and post-central-bank repricing. Markets will continue to digest signals from the Federal Reserve, […]
EUR/USD Drifts Sideways Poised to End 2025 Close to Yearly Highs
From President Lagarde’s press conference, it was clear that the ECB is currently very comfortable with its prevailing monetary policy stance following the latest adjustment to the Main Refinancing Operations rate (2.15%) implemented last June. Only a clear and material deterioration in the medium-term growth outlook would be likely to alter the Governing Council’s perception […]
EUR/USD Poised for a Breakout as ECB Decision Takes the Spotlight
The EUR/USD pair traded with limited volatility on Thursday, December 18, 2025, as investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of the European Central Bank’s policy decision. The pair remained supported near recent highs, reflecting a balance between mild US Dollar strength and persistent demand for the Euro. The US Dollar maintained a firm tone against […]


