The week of November 24–28 is shaping up as an event-filled, albeit holiday-shortened period for global markets. Investors will focus on delayed U.S. data such as retail sales and producer prices, while anticipation builds around the Federal Reserve’s next move amid rising odds of a December rate cut. At the same time, currency watchers are […]
Nikkei: Strong Outperformance and Policy Crosswinds
Japan’s Nikkei has been one of the strongest performers among developed markets this year. From the April 2025 lows near 31 000 to the early November peak above 52 600, the index has gained roughly 70 percent. This performance must be viewed in the context of a weakening yen, since the index is quoted in […]
EURUSD: A December rate cut is far from guaranteed
Shortly after the close of U.S. markets—when Nvidia’s results once again poured fuel on the fire of the AI-trade—the FOMC released the minutes of its October meeting. These revealed a clear split among the 12 voting members regarding the possibility of another cut to the policy rate (currently in the 3.75%–4.00% range) in December, a […]
NVIDIA’s Earnings After the Close on Wall Street
This evening, after the closing bell at Wall Street, it will finally be NVIDIA’s turn to report its quarterly results, effectively wrapping up this earnings season. Described by a well-known American strategist as “the top company within the top industry within the top sector,” the stock — which has gained 1,400% since September 2022 — […]
NASDAQ: Sell Off Deepens This Morning
As of the time of writing, around 8.00 a.m. CET, the Nasdaq is down 1.02 percent, trading at 24 560, and sits 6.60 percent below the highs reached on October 30 at 26 250. Meanwhile, BTC USD is down 6.40 percent, trading once again below the 90k level. There is no clear news driven catalyst […]
Weekly Market Outlook | 17 – 21 Nov
Last week saw pockets of volatility, amplified by the continued absence of official U.S. economic data due to the federal government shutdown — a disruption that has finally been resolved after more than a month. With investors relying on central-bank commentary, private-sector surveys, and a heavy earnings calendar, markets experienced pronounced day-to-day swings. Regional performance […]
VIX Still Stuck Near 20
The VIX, or Volatility Index, is a futures contract listed on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange that the exchange has effectively marketed as the Fear Index. This is due to its inverse correlation with equity indices. When equity markets fall sharply, the VIX typically rises decisively. Technically, although the specifics are not essential to understand, it […]
Google Seems to Be Doing Something Good in the AI Race
At least, this appears to be the market’s view. For now, Alphabet’s shares have been partially spared from the heavy selling pressure that has affected other players over the past two weeks. Despite yesterday’s 2.89 percent decline, the stock is only down 4.44 percent from its highs and has been more resilient than names such […]
USDJPY and Japan’s Uncertain Economic Outlook
Japan is emerging from decades of ultra-accommodative monetary policy, during which the policy rate remained negative from 2016 until 2024. The Bank of Japan (BOJ), the country’s central bank, has since begun a cautious normalization process, raising rates to the current 0.50%, the highest level since 2008. A minority of analysts expect a further hike […]
S&P 500: After the Correction, the Rebound
Last week was a challenging one for U.S. markets. Until Friday, they were weighed down by elevated valuations among AI-exposed companies and early signs of macroeconomic weakness, particularly in the labor market. At one point on Friday, the S&P 500 was down 3% from the previous week’s close, while the Nasdaq had dropped as much […]

