Today marks a key policy day, with interest rate decisions due from both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England. The latter is of particular interest. The UK economy has been slowing steadily over recent quarters. Annual GDP growth has decelerated from 1.9% in Q4 2024 to 1.3% in the same period of […]
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is widely anticipated to raise its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.85% at its February policy meeting, marking its first rate increase in more than two years as inflation accelerates. The decision is scheduled for Tuesday at 03:30 GMT, alongside the release of the Monetary Policy […]
After months of relatively subdued volatility in FX markets, conditions have shifted abruptly. Over the past four sessions, the USD Index has recorded its worst performance since April 2025 (the days following the initial tariff announcements). With a -0.83% decline yesterday, the greenback has depreciated to levels last seen four years ago, in February 2022. […]
Yesterday we discussed the movements in the JPY, and as anticipated, today we will briefly cover their relevance for global risk markets and the global benchmark, the SP500 The Japanese banking and insurance sectors are among the largest and most important in the world. As of 2024, Japanese banks held approximately USD 17 trillion in […]
In recent years, it has happened on several occasions that Japanese monetary and government authorities (often in coordination with their counterparts) begin to express concern when USD/JPY moves above the 150 level and step into the FX market to stabilize the domestic currency as it approaches the 160 area. The first intervention took place in […]
While global attention is focused with a degree of apprehension on the fratricidal dispute within NATO triggered by the Greenland issue, and markets attempt to assess the potential implications of reciprocal tariff threats between countries on opposite sides of the Atlantic alliance, a number of other significant events and meetings are scheduled for this week. […]
The U.S. dollar regained momentum in early Asian trading on Wednesday, stabilizing near a one-month high after inflation data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged this month. The rebound came despite heightened political pressure on the central bank, as global policymakers and Wall Street leaders publicly rallied behind Federal Reserve […]
Over the past several weeks, the USD had experienced a series of modest appreciation sessions, clearly visible against both the Euro and the Swiss Franc. This move unfolded within a persistently low-volatility environment, which has kept the USD Index trading broadly sideways throughout the entirety of H2 2025, following a pronounced depreciation in the first […]
If we combine the relative strength of the euro with the structural weakness of the Japanese yen, we identify the FX cross in which the currency of the Land of the Rising Sun has depreciated the most against one of the three major global currencies. The primary driver, among the various macroeconomic factors influencing a […]
The EUR/USD pair advanced sharply during the North American session, climbing around 0.42% to trade near 1.1757–1.1760, after rebounding from intraday lows around 1.1706. The move reflects renewed weakness in the US Dollar as traders increasingly price in monetary easing by the Federal Reserve, despite mixed messaging from policymakers. With little high-impact economic data released […]
