From President Lagarde’s press conference, it was clear that the ECB is currently very comfortable with its prevailing monetary policy stance following the latest adjustment to the Main Refinancing Operations rate (2.15%) implemented last June. Only a clear and material deterioration in the medium-term growth outlook would be likely to alter the Governing Council’s perception […]
GBP/USD Consolidates Ahead of Expected BoE Rate Cut
Approximately one hour before the ECB announces its decision from Frankfurt, the “Old Lady”—the affectionate nickname for the Bank of England in the City of London—will also publish its interest rate decision for the UK, where the Bank Rate currently stands at 4.00%. Market pricing suggests a high likelihood of a 25 basis point cut […]
EUR/USD Poised for a Breakout as ECB Decision Takes the Spotlight
The EUR/USD pair traded with limited volatility on Thursday, December 18, 2025, as investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of the European Central Bank’s policy decision. The pair remained supported near recent highs, reflecting a balance between mild US Dollar strength and persistent demand for the Euro. The US Dollar maintained a firm tone against […]
EUR/JPY Softens Slightly Ahead of ECB, BoJ Later This Week
The Euro Area exports goods to Japan worth approximately EUR 70 billion per year, primarily pharmaceuticals and medical equipment (around EUR 18 billion), as well as machinery and vehicles. At the same time, it imports goods from Japan with a total value of roughly EUR 100 billion, resulting in a trade deficit of about EUR […]
EUR/USD Holds Firm as Dollar Weakness Persists
EUR/USD traded steadily on Tuesday, 16 December 2025, as the U.S. dollar remained on the defensive ahead of a busy macroeconomic calendar. The dollar index slipped around 0.2%, hovering near a two-month low, providing ongoing support for the euro. Market participants remained cautious, positioning ahead of delayed U.S. labour data and key inflation releases later […]
USD/CAD Amid Trade Tensions and Policy Divergence
Canada is the United States’ second-largest trading partner after Mexico, with total bilateral trade reaching $770 billion in 2024. Of this, $422 billion consisted of U.S. exports and $349 billion of imports, resulting in a U.S. trade surplus of USD 73 billion. Canada, the U.S., and Mexico operate under the USMCA framework, which came into […]
RBA Holds Rates at 3.6% as AUD Extends Gains
This morning, the Reserve Bank of Australia left its policy rate unchanged at 3.6% for the fourth consecutive meeting, with AUD/USD emerging as the best performer among major currency pairs. The RBA is the first of the four major central banks meeting this week, all of which face the same challenge: balancing inflation that remains […]
EUR/USD Rises Toward 1.1650 on Fed Cut Bets and Strong German Data
The EUR/USD pair continued its upward momentum on Tuesday, edging toward 1.1645 in the early European session. The move reflects growing confidence that the US Federal Reserve will deliver an interest rate cut at its final policy meeting of 2025, pressuring the US Dollar while offering support to the Euro. Market participants are positioning ahead […]
USD Index on a Softer Note Ahead of the Federal Reserve Meeting
In a week packed with macroeconomic releases—one that will see four major central banks, including the Federal Reserve, announce potential changes to their monetary policy—the USD Index (USDX) begins trading at 98.63. This places the index closer to its H2 2025 highs (100.35 recorded on 20 November) than to its semiannual lows (95.85 reached on […]
GBPUSD: Weak Growth, Stubborn Inflation and Budget Concerns
At 08:00 GMT this morning, the minutes of the latest meeting of the Financial Policy Committee (FPC) will be released. The FPC is the Bank of England’s body responsible for safeguarding the stability of the UK financial system. Its assessment will be particularly interesting given that the country’s macroeconomic backdrop is far from vibrant—although, to […]



