After months of relatively subdued volatility in FX markets, conditions have shifted abruptly. Over the past four sessions, the USD Index has recorded its worst performance since April 2025 (the days following the initial tariff announcements). With a -0.83% decline yesterday, the greenback has depreciated to levels last seen four years ago, in February 2022. […]
EURUSD Outlook among Tariffs, Ecofin, Davos and Macroeconomic Data
While global attention is focused with a degree of apprehension on the fratricidal dispute within NATO triggered by the Greenland issue, and markets attempt to assess the potential implications of reciprocal tariff threats between countries on opposite sides of the Atlantic alliance, a number of other significant events and meetings are scheduled for this week. […]
EUR/USD Drifts Sideways Poised to End 2025 Close to Yearly Highs
From President Lagarde’s press conference, it was clear that the ECB is currently very comfortable with its prevailing monetary policy stance following the latest adjustment to the Main Refinancing Operations rate (2.15%) implemented last June. Only a clear and material deterioration in the medium-term growth outlook would be likely to alter the Governing Council’s perception […]
EURUSD: A December rate cut is far from guaranteed
Shortly after the close of U.S. markets—when Nvidia’s results once again poured fuel on the fire of the AI-trade—the FOMC released the minutes of its October meeting. These revealed a clear split among the 12 voting members regarding the possibility of another cut to the policy rate (currently in the 3.75%–4.00% range) in December, a […]
