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Analysis, Weekly Outlook

Outlook for the Week of January 06 – 10

January 7, 2025 OnEquity

Key Points to Watch Out For: Will U.S. Data Provide More Momentum for the Dollar? The U.S. dollar started the year with a slight pullback, but it quickly resumed its dominant uptrend. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance—lowering its 2025 rate cut forecasts to only two quarter-point reductions—has widened yield differentials between the U.S. and other […]

Analysis, Weekly Outlook

Outlook for the Week of December 23 – 27

December 24, 2024 OnEquity

Key Points to Watch Out For: Inflation Appears to Be Dollar-Friendly The U.S. dollar has emerged as a dominant force in 2024, a sharp reversal from the dynamics of 2023 when Europe and other global markets struggled with persistent inflation. The Federal Reserve’s efforts to combat inflation have yielded significant progress, setting it apart from […]

Analysis, Weekly Outlook

Outlook for the Week of December 09 – 13

December 17, 2024 OnEquity

Key Points to Watch Out For: Fed to Pause in January Following last week’s data, which showed U.S. inflation slightly higher than in October, market participants are nearly unanimous in expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week. However, the likelihood of a pause in January has climbed to […]

Analysis, Weekly Outlook

Outlook for the Week of December 09 – 13

December 10, 2024 OnEquity

Key Points to Watch Out For: Reserve Bank of Australia to Hold Rates, but Will It Be Less Restrictive? The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is set to announce its decision on Tuesday, December 10. Unlike its major counterparts, the RBA has not yet initiated a rate-cutting cycle, as policymakers remain cautious about inflation despite […]

Analysis, Weekly Outlook

Outlook for the Week of November 25 – 29

November 26, 2024 OnEquity

Key Points to Watch Out For: RBNZ Readies for Its Third Rate Cut The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will kick off the year-end monetary policy meetings of major central banks with its decision on Wednesday, November 27. Having shifted policy significantly earlier this year, even before the Federal Reserve began easing, the RBNZ […]

Analysis, Weekly Outlook

Outlook for the Week of November 18 – 22

November 19, 2024 OnEquity

Key Points To Watch Out For: Trump Election Raises Bets on Fed Pause The U.S. dollar continued to show signs of strengthening for another week, with the so-called “Trump trades” remaining resilient. This is largely due to the president-elect’s Republican Party holding control of both houses of Congress, providing significant leverage for Donald Trump to […]

Analysis, Weekly Outlook

Outlook for the Week of November 11–15

November 12, 2024 OnEquity

Key Points To Watch Out For: U.S. CPI in Focus Amid Rate Cut Bets Post-Trump Win Donald Trump’s return to the White House has been met with market euphoria. Wall Street and Bitcoin hit historic highs, while the U.S. dollar surged to a four-month high, propelled by rising Treasury yields. Treasury yields, which had already […]

Analysis, Weekly Outlook

Outlook for the Week of November 4–8

November 5, 2024 OnEquity

Key Points to Watch: U.S. Election Impact on the Markets The U.S. dollar has strengthened recently, supported by optimistic data suggesting the Federal Reserve may not need to make another 50-basis-point rate cut for the remainder of 2024. Additionally, market bets are growing on a potential victory for Donald Trump and his return to the […]

Analysis, Weekly Outlook

Outlook for the Week of October 28 – November 1

October 29, 2024 OnEquity

Key points to watch out for: All Eyes on U.S. Data as the Fed Turns Hawkish In September, the Federal Reserve’s unexpected decision to cut rates by about 50 basis points appears to linger in the market’s memory, as policymakers have now taken a more hawkish stance. U.S. economic indicators since the September meeting have […]

Analysis, Weekly Outlook

Outlook for the Week of October 21-25

October 22, 2024 OnEquity

Key points to watch out for: Bank of Canada Likely to Cut Rates by Half a Point Estimates that the Bank of Canada will cut rates by 50 basis points at its October meeting have increased following the latest CPI data. However, markets are not entirely convinced that there will be a significant move, so […]

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