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Analysis, Daily Technical

Daily Technical Analysis EUR/USD: Continues to Rally Above 1.1600 Amid Breakdown of Truce and Decline in U.S. Dollar

June 25, 2025 OnEquity

The EUR/USD pair extended its winning streak for a fourth consecutive session, rising 0.39% to trade at 1.1619—just below the yearly high of 1.1641. The advance was driven by broad U.S. dollar weakness, spurred by easing geopolitical tensions after Israel and Iran agreed to a ceasefire. This improvement in global risk sentiment weighed on the greenback.

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) dropped 0.47%, nearing weekly lows at 97.70, as optimism grew over a possible de-escalation in the Middle East. Adding to the dovish mood, The New York Times reported that recent U.S. strikes on Iran did not damage nuclear facilities, softening the market’s reaction to earlier fears.

Meanwhile, Wall Street traded higher despite hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Speaking before the U.S. House of Representatives, Powell reiterated that interest rates remain “modestly restrictive,” though he opened the door to potential cuts if inflation moderates. Other Fed officials echoed a wait-and-see approach, citing tariff concerns and slowing growth.

In economic data, U.S. Consumer Confidence fell sharply in June to 93.0 from 98.0, missing expectations of 100. The Conference Board noted that the decline was broad-based, reflecting weaker sentiment on both current conditions and future expectations.

In Europe, Germany’s IFO Business Climate Index rose to 88.4 in June—its sixth consecutive monthly gain—slightly exceeding forecasts. Business expectations improved as well. However, the euro showed limited reaction to the data. ECB speakers offered mixed views: François Villeroy signaled openness to further rate cuts if inflation expectations remain subdued, while Peter Kazimir shifted to a more neutral stance, suggesting rates may stay on hold.

EUR/USD Daily Technical Analysis – June 25

The pair maintains a bullish structure after setting a year-to-date high at 1.1641. A daily close above 1.1650 would confirm further upside, opening the path toward 1.1700 and possibly 1.1800. On the downside, support lies at 1.1600, followed by 1.1550 and 1.1500. Breaching these levels could expose the weekly open at 1.1454.

EUR/USD chart
  • Dollar
  • Euro
  • Technical Analysis

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Daily Technical Analysis EUR/USD: stabilizes under 1.1650 as markets anticipate Powell’s speech in Jackson Hole

August 25, 2025 OnEquity

EUR/USD eased on Monday, trading near 1.1700 after advancing around 1% in the previous session. However, losses may remain capped as the US Dollar (USD) continues to face pressure from rising expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in September, following Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium. Powell acknowledged growing […]

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The U.S. dollar edged higher on Wednesday as traders looked ahead to the release of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting minutes, followed by the annual Jackson Hole symposium, both expected to provide fresh signals on the central bank’s monetary policy outlook. At 04:55 ET (08:55 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against six […]

Analysis, Daily Technical

Daily Technical Analysis EUR/USD: Stabilizes Under 1.1650 as Markets Anticipate Powell’s Speech in Jackson Hole

August 20, 2025 OnEquity

EUR/USD is consolidating above the 1.1600 level, trading near 1.1640 and down 0.12% as markets await Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole and monitor developments in the Ukraine-Russia conflict. In the U.S., housing data released Tuesday had little impact, with investors focused instead on last week’s inflation reports. CPI figures initially fueled […]

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