Unlike other indices—including the American S&P 500, the Italian FTSE MIB, and the Spanish IBEX 35—which have quickly and somewhat surprisingly returned to within touching distance of their recent or all-time highs, the German DAX has lagged in its recovery. In this respect, it more closely resembles the Dow Jones Industrial Average, likely due to […]
S&P 500: Assessing the Rebound
Last week was, overall, quite positive for equity indices and the global benchmark. After an initial rebound attempt that quickly faded on Monday, March 30, the following day the S&P 500 posted a solid +2.86%—also coinciding with the close of the first quarter and related last-minute rebalancing—which then allowed it to continue rising in the […]
US100 Rallies on Unconfirmed News
At 17:35 GMT yesterday, major international news agencies circulated a report stating that Iranian President Pezeshkian had told Islamic Republic News Agency: “We’re ready to end war, but want guarantees.” This headline triggered a sharp rally in equities, while both oil and the U.S. dollar declined significantly within minutes. However, a key issue has emerged: […]
OECD UK Downgrade: FTSE & GBPUSD Outlook
The OECD’s latest economic outlook, published on March 26, delivered a stark verdict on the UK who received the biggest downgrade to its 2026 growth forecast among all major OECD member countries, with GDP growth now projected at just 0.7% for the year, down 0.5% from a previous estimate of 1.2%. The downgrade reflects the […]
US30 Rebounds at Key Support
Two of the three major U.S. equity indices have now entered correction territory—defined as a drawdown of 10% from their recent highs. Only the S&P 500 remains just above that threshold, currently at -9.05%, while both the Nasdaq and the Dow Jones Industrial Average have breached it. For completeness, the Russell 2000 could arguably be […]
Global Indices at a Crossroads
After three full weeks of military tensions, equity markets have finally pulled back with some consistency, and among the indices, some have even entered what is considered correction territory—a decline of more than 10% from their highs. Today, we’ll take a brief overview of them, trying to understand whether it’s time for a pause in […]
FTSE 100 Weak but Holding Above 10,000
Several UK macroeconomic releases were published earlier today and they were disappointing across the board: GDP MoM came in flat at 0%, industrial production was also close to flat and below expectations, and the services index was weak as well. The GBP is feeling the impact, losing 0.41% against the USD today and also 0.06% […]
Nikkei Rebounds on Strong GDP Data
As per the data released overnight, Japan’s GDP expanded more than expected in the final quarter of 2025, with annualized growth of +1.3% in Q4 2025, compared with +1.2% expected and +0.2% in the previous reading. The stronger performance was mainly driven by robust business investment, which increased 1.3% (vs. 0.2% in the flash estimate). […]
U.S. Indices Close Flat as Middle East Tensions Rise
We appreciate our readers’ patience as we defer our oil analysis by one more day and we are committed to publishing it tomorrow morning. That said, the situation is fairly clear at this stage: one of the most critical regions in the world for energy production — including natural gas, which should not be overlooked […]
CAC40 Extends Rally to Six Straight Gains
European indices are outperforming U.S. ones this year, with several of them clearly above their previous all-time highs and pushing toward new records. Possible reasons include a geographic rotation by large institutional investors, who are pulling capital out of the fatigued overseas technology trade and reallocating it to the Old Continent; a more accommodative monetary […]
